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For
an issue that only a few years ago evoked more international yawns
than interest, Kashmir has consistently retained media limelight
and global attention, competing with crises like Iraq and Afghanistan.
So
it did not come as much of a surprise when Pugwash, an international
organisation, chose Pakistan as a venue for a conference on Kashmir
last month. Moots such as these have become a standard way to keep
the gaze of diplomacy steady on global problems.
While
it is difficult to fathom the actual contribution that the conference
made in suggesting a framework to crack the problem of Kashmir,
it was significant in, at least, one respect: Pakistani decision-makers
crossed an important psychological barrier where Kashmiri leaders
are concerned, whose close connections with Delhi traditionally
earned them Islamabad's ire and contempt. Omar Abdullah, head of
the National Conference, and third-generation of the Abdullah family,
commonly known in Pakistan's ruling circles as the 'ghaddars of
Kashmir,' made his maiden visit to this country, displaying the
new flexibility that now dictates Islamabad's fresh Kashmir outlook.
He,
along with other participants of the conference, had a meeting with
President Pervez Musharraf and were also feted by Foreign Minister
Khurshid Mehmood Kasuri - a dinner made famous by the verbal bout
between Pakistan's Kashmir experts and the pro-India Kashmiri leaders.
The
official welcome accorded to the wide array of Kashmiri leaders,
whose antecedents and political standing were once deemed questionable
by the Pakistani establishment, is in line with the guarded reciprocity
that the Indian and Pakistani government are supposed to show in
the carefully-paced Kashmir peace process.
One of the million shrapnels that killed peace initiatives
on Kashmir has been the lack of trust in the Kashmiri leaders who
are sympathetic to the two sides in the bloody story: India and
Pakistan. Delhi and Islamabad both denigrated Kashmiri leaders who
represented Kashmiri versions of the official positions, excluding
them from any constructive consideration: Delhi traditionally kept
the All Parties Hurriyat Conference and the militant outfits at
bayonet's length, and Pakistan eschewed any contact with those who
did not call for the right of self-determination of the Kashmiri
or rallied around the emotive slogan of joining Pakistan.
Not
anymore. Delhi, in its own incremental, schematically circuitous
way has warmed up to the idea of making contact with the Kashmiri
leaders who oppose the idea of Kashmir being part of India. Pakistan
has responded in kind and has an open-door policy, allowing the
entry of all sorts of claimants to Kashmiri interests in the fold
of its diplomacy.
Yet too much cannot be read into these contacts. Officials who make
arrangements for hitherto unknown or unwelcome Kashmiri leaders
during the day, sit in the evenings and vent caution against the
dangers of their own policy.
The
most obvious danger that they mention is that soon there might be
so many mouths speaking on behalf of the Kashmiris that the real
issue and its proponents will be squeezed for space, if not completely
sidelined. Ostensibly, different Kashmiri points of view are being
brought at par with each other, in search of an "out of the
box" solution.
Some
official quarters see a lot of merit in this attempt. "As long
as these leaders from different parts of Kashmir can generally agree
on changing the status quo in Kashmir, we do not have a problem
in entertaining them," says a member of President Musharraf's
small, informal group of advisors on India.
The
assumption is that at least theoretically a common ground is now
visible on which the diverse range of interests can connect. From
Pakistan's point of view this means greater currency among Kashmiri
leaders of President Musharraf's idea of de-militarisation, self-rule
for Kashmiris, and joint control of the Kashmir territory by a body
on which representatives of Kashmiris, India and Pakistan sit.
Practically, while the idea has done many rounds, it has not caught
on in Delhi. Even Omar Abdullah, who has his own plan of maximum
autonomy for the two territories that makes the LOC irrelevant,
has not shown any enthusiasm for the scheme.
"Its
details have not been provided to us, and from what I have heard
it seems like a pretty difficult scheme to implement," he remarked
during an interview.
The other danger of adding more seats on the table of Kashmiri leaders,
is that it would be hard to withdraw the invitation later without
creating an awkward diplomatic situation.
Delhi's engagement with
pro-Pakistani or pro-independence leaders from Kashmir is heavily
qualified. It is preconditioned by its insistence that they must
shun violence, and be willing to participate in an electoral exercise,
as well as be more patient with its routine insistence that Kashmir
is an integral part of India and that the Indian borders would not
change in search for a solution. While India has been selective
in applying these preconditions, it has been very steady in articulating
them officially.
Pakistan has been more generous in opening its doors; Islamabad
has not laid down any such condition which, if unfulfilled, could
make it revise its new Jammu and Kashmir guest list.
Part of the reason is that Islamabad has hastily bowdlerised its
Kashmir policy script. References to the UN Security Council resolutions
are a rarity or mere pro forma utterances. On more than one occasion,
President Musharraf has spoken of the impracticality of the plebiscite,
as well as the option of Kashmir becoming part of Pakistan. Official
defense of the Kashmiris' right to pick up the gun and fight the
occupation forces too, has been diluted to the point of non-existence
for fear of Pakistan coming across as an advocate of terrorism.
Leaders like Syed Ali Geelani are considered "dividers"
and "an impediment to peace." Under these circumstances
the opening of the debate on the Kashmir solution to different voices,
while being very democratic and in tune with the changed circumstances,
also poses the danger of the issue being defined in terms that are
unjust and detrimental to Kashmiri interests. That is a danger that
very few in Islamabad are talking about these days.
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