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The
abiding US interest in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA),
which are geographically part of the NWFP but are administered by
the federal government, became evident once again recently when
a Pentagon spokesman said a plan was being drawn up to train and
expand the paramilitary Frontier Corps (FC) to counter the growing
strength of Al-Qaeda and the Taliban in Pakistan's tribal areas.
Additionally,
another Pentagon spokesman, Bryan Whitman, said the Tampa, Florida-based
US Special Operations Command was preparing separate plans for ways
to increase counter-terrorism cooperation with Pakistan's armed
forces and to boost their capabilities. Whitman said the plans involved
"capabilities that would help pursue the type of disruptive
influences that are in Pakistan...without going into specifics."
He said these plans have not yet been sent up the military chain
of command for approval.
According
to the influential US newspaper, The New York Times, the plans were
part of intensified efforts to enlist tribal leaders in the "war
against terror." It said there were at present 50 US soldiers
in Pakistan, but many more would be required to execute the plan.
Regarding the Pentagon plan to train and expand the FC, press secretary
Geoff Morrell said it had been in the pipeline for months, but was
not yet underway. He said the plan had been discussed and issues
such as its launch were debated in meetings.
It
is worth noting that General (retd.) Pervez Musharraf, on different
occasions in the past, had conceded the presence of only 12 to 15
US military personnel in Pakistan. He had said these Americans were
assisting the Pakistan military with technical expertise to track
down wanted foreign militants and intercept and disrupt their means
of communication. The general never admitted that 50 US soldiers
were stationed in Pakistan. In fact, Musharraf and his military
regime have seldom bothered to take the nation into confidence about
Pakistan's specific role in the so-called "war on terror"
and the parameters of its cooperation with the US in fighting Al-Qaeda
and the Taliban. Islamabad's open-ended and almost limitless cooperation
with the US in fighting this endless "war on terror" has
destabilised Pakistan and polarised its society. Some of the military
tactics applied in fighting this war have caused so much "collateral
damage" that the civilian casualties and displacement of communities
have fuelled militancy, created suicide bombers and contributed
to spreading extremism to Swat and other places outside the tribal
areas.
Pentagon
spokesman Whitman said US military assistance to Pakistan's armed
forces until now was limited to air assault training, for which
American funding fell from $27 million in the fiscal year 2006 to
$5.3 million in fiscal 2007.
The
NWFP in general and FATA in particular became the focus of attention
following the post-9/11 US invasion of neighbouring Afghanistan
in October 2001. After years of neglect, the Pakistan government
substantially increased allocation of funds for the under-developed
tribal borderland and foreign donors also chipped in with money
for special projects. The military operations that began there in
2003-2004 to hunt down militants suspected of having links to Al-Qaeda
and the Taliban are also continuing and could go on for years due
to the fact that the "war on terror" appears unwinnable.
The
US-assisted military operations in FATA, particularly in the troubled
North Waziristan and South Waziristan tribal agencies, have achieved
mixed results. The foreign militants, mostly Uzbeks aligned to the
outlawed Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan (IMU) and a sprinkling of
Arabs, Afghans and others, have found it increasingly difficult
to hide in sanctuaries provided by Pakistani tribesmen. The Uzbeks,
led by IMU leader Tahir Yuldachev, had to quit the Wana area in
South Waziristan during the spring of 2007 when local Taliban rose
against them and evicted them with help from the Pakistan Army.
Tribes in Mir Ali of North Waziristan have also formed tribal lashkars
to force them to leave the area and punish tribesmen sheltering
them in their homes. The few Arab nationals hiding in Waziristan
and the Afghan Taliban have kept a low profile and largely refrained
from fighting the Pakistan Army, which until now has lost more than
1,000 soldiers in the "war on terror." Their priority
appears to be to fight the US-led coalition forces in Afghanistan.
It
is interesting to note that the military operations were launched
in Waziristan to tackle foreign militants, but the fighting now
taking place there is largely between Pakistani troops and their
own countrymen drawn from the tribes, collectively and commonly
known as the Taliban. The issue of the presence of foreigners, sometimes
referred to as "guest fighters" by their Pakistani hosts,
seems to have been almost forgotten. No killing or capture of foreign
militants has been claimed by the government for a long time now.
As the situation stands, Pakistanis are now dying on both sides
while the wanted foreign militants have almost vanished from the
scene.
Until
now, most of the US funding for FATA had been spent on military
operations and the future Pentagon plans for the region also focus
primarily on the training and expansion of the troops taking part
in the "war on terror." The plan to enlist tribal elders
to fight Al-Qaeda and Taliban militants is also geared towards the
same objective. The same strategy was adopted in Afghanistan by
devoting the bulk of US aid to security needs in the hope of militarily
defeating the Taliban. It didn't work as the Taliban remain undefeated
even six years after the fall of their regime in Kabul, and their
strength and influence, according to most western accounts, has
increased during this period. There has been some rethinking of
this strategy following demands for more funding for development
projects and political initiatives aimed at winning the hearts and
minds of the Afghan people. Some western analysts and leaders, including
the British defense secretary, have also argued that no peace in
Afghanistan is possible without involving the Taliban in the political
process.
As
the situation in Afghanistan and FATA is inter-linked, there is
a need to rethink the existing, military-driven policy in FATA.
Government functionaries from Musharraf down to the military commanders
in the field have been saying for quite some time now that no military
solution to the conflict in Waziristan and FATA was possible. That
was the reason that every military operation was followed by a peace
accord. Also, more resources were allocated for the development
of FATA and foreign donors, too, were wooed to provide resources
for undertaking projects in the socio-economic sectors. There was
a feeling that tackling poverty and illiteracy would help fight
extremism. This indeed should be the policy because FATA has been
lagging far behind the rest of the country in terms of development.
The US government had also promised to help set up special economic
opportunity zones in the tribal areas to facilitate activities to
jump-start the economy, but this hasn't been finalised yet. There
is no timeline for setting up these zones and further delays look
inevitable due to a lack of urgency on the part of the US authorities.
The
Pentagon's plan to train and expand the FC is a long-term activity
and it again focuses on militarily resolving the conflict in FATA.
The FC would surely benefit from US financial support and could,
in time, become a better trained and equipped force. In fact, the
FC has already received vehicles from the US and some funds from
Washington have gone into setting up new border posts and for training
purposes.
The
FC, an 80,000-strong force drawn from Pakhtun tribes, was raised
by the British colonial rulers to maintain law and order in the
tribal areas and patrol the long border with Afghanistan. However,
it is now being asked to fight fellow tribesmen who were either
part of the Taliban or joined them after their villages became a
target in military operations. The FC personnel, in some cases,
have surrendered to the Taliban in Waziristan and Swat and many
among them gave media interviews to explain that they don't want
to fight fellow Muslims and Pakhtuns. There have been desertions
from FC ranks and even jobless young men no longer appear keen to
be recruited in the force.
However,
the Pentagon plan to enlist tribal leaders in the fight against
Al-Qaeda and the Taliban is fraught with risks and such a strategy
could fuel further bloodshed in the tribal areas. Enlisting would
mean arming and equipping the tribal chiefs and giving them money.
Up to 250 tribesmen, including tribal elders, and many Afghans have
been killed in the two Waziristans and in Bajaur Agency on charges
of spying for the US and there will be more such killings if tribal
leaders are suspected to have received money from the Americans
There
has been talk in the US about replicating the model of Iraq's Al
Anbar province, where tribally based Sunni militias were recruited
as allies against Al-Qaeda, and implementing it in the Pakistani
tribal region. This could be a recipe for disaster in FATA where,
unlike Iraq, the militants are overwhelmingly Pakistani tribesmen
and not foreigners as is the case with Al-Qaeda-linked fighters
in Al Anbar. In our tribal areas, funding for the tribal leaders
would mean they would be fighting Pakistani Taliban and destabilising
the whole tribal belt. Blood-feuds continue for generations among
Pakhtun tribes and pitting one group of tribesmen against another
would mean triggering perpetual battles between the two sides. The
Pakistan government has tried this strategy in certain areas, but
it isn't the best way to tackle the problem of militancy and extremism.
Pakistan should adopt policies that are in the national interest
and are acceptable and workable in keeping with time-honoured tribal
traditions and customs. Allowing the US to dictate policies in Pakistan
or to experiment with anti-terror strategies that could further
destabilise the tribal belt are hardly sound solutions for Pakistan's
profound problems.
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