If Dr
Qadeer Khan's admission of guilt on national television
- and Musharraf's subsequent pardon - were intended
to firmly secure the lid on the nuclear proliferation
scandal, the strategy had exactly the opposite effect.
It opened a Pandora's box of questions.
Was
the confession extracted out of Dr Qadeer by force
or had a deal been worked out between Pakistan's nuclear
"hero" and the generals, with the assistance
of a Chaudhary and a legal eagle? If no deal existed,
why was Dr Qadeer let off the hook so easily - was
it because he had threatened to squeal on the 'other
players' in the game? Rumour has it that one of Qadeer's
daughters has sneaked out a tape-recorded statement
by her father, in which he implicates some top military
guns.
Another
critical question that is being raised is, how could
the two army chiefs of the time have failed to detect
the pilferage of such sensitive material, when they
were supposedly running a tight ship - so tight that
even two elected civilian prime ministers were not
allowed into Kahuta, and a French diplomat who wandered
into the area, was soundly thrashed. Also, where were
the supremely efficient intelligence sleuths - how
could nuclear components (it was not just centrifuge
drawings alone as General Musharraf glibly said) be
smuggled out of Kahuta under their watchful gaze?
Moreover, if Dr Khan was, indeed, the sole recipient
of all the financial largesse of the nuclear underworld,
why didn't the government investigate stories of his
hi-fi lifestyle - palatial houses, vintage cars, hotels
abroad and offshore accounts - that had been appearing
in the press from time to time.
There are too many loose ends in the official story
which Pakistan's fourth estate is trying to piece
together, and they cannot be faulted for doing their
job and accused of compromising national interests.
Had those, who were assigned the task of guarding
Pakistan's nuclear assets done their job, Pakistan
might have been spared this humiliation and trauma.
The country faces difficult days ahead.There
is a genuine fear that we might be ordered to roll
back our nuclear programme, and open up our nuclear
facilities for inspection by IAEA inspectors. There
also lurks the danger that our nuclear facilities
might be targeted by a country like Israel that feels
threatened by the possibility of the 'Islamic bomb'
falling into the hands of their Arab "enemies."
Official
quarters also hint at the possibility of military
and economic sanctions being imposed on Pakistan,
and of the three-billion-dollar US aid package to
Pakistan being withheld or subjected to stringent
conditionalities, in the event that more evidence
implicating Pakistan in the nuclear proliferation
blackmarket is unearthed. According to the IAEA Chief,
Mr El Baradei, what has been found is just "the
tip of the iceberg."
There are concerns in certain quarters that
Pakistan may even be declared a rogue state. For the
moment, we might be spared that ultimate humiliation,
given our strategic importance in the post-September
11 scenario. Bush and Colin Powell are choosing their
words carefully, but once the Osama obsession is over,
we may have to run for cover.
General Musharraf has always maintained that
our nuclear assets are in safe hands. Following the
IAEA revelations, the international community is not
likely to take the General's assurances at face-value.
We will be expected to do a lot more to establish
our credentials as a responsible nuclear state and
stop flaunting our nuclear capability at various forums.
Having said that, one must also point out
that while the IAEA has presented Pakistan with "incontrovertible"
evidence against Pakistani scientists, it has yet
to release the names of those European countries and
firms who form part of the nuclear proliferation blackmarket
and underworld, making the investigations appear pointedly
one-sided. Fairness demands that those European countries
and individuals involved in nuclear proliferation
are also taken to task.
A 'Christian' bomb is no less devastating than
an 'Islamic' bomb. Or is it?