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Aunilateral
ceasefire, called by armed resistance groups such as the Baloch
Liberation Army (BLA) and the Baloch Republican Army (BRA),
after the resignation of Pervez Musharraf last August, was withdrawn
in January. The withdrawal came on the heels of clashes in Dera
Bugti which killed 30 people, including 10 security personnel.
The clashes were believed to be triggered by the recent visit
of Nawabzada Talal Akbar Bugti, the son of the late Nawab Akbar
Bugti, to meet government higher-ups, in Islamabad and Lahore.
The clashes ended a period of relative normalcy in Balochistan.
Prior
to his meeting with President Asif Ali Zardari, Talal Bugti
had condemned the activities of Baloch nationalists, branding
their activities as acts of terrorism. His reference was to
the continuous rocket attacks in Goth Shah Zain Bugti in the
Naseerabad area which, according to hardliner Baloch nationalists,
were a necessary part of the resistance movement for securing
the usurped rights of the Baloch people.
Already
unpopular in his home province after his remarks, Talal Bugti’s
meeting with President Zardari, former prime minister Mian Nawaz
Sharif, Punjab Chief Minister Shahbaz Sharif and Amir Jamat-e-Islami
Qazi Hussain Ahmed didn’t go down too well with nationalist
elements, who do not look upon the PPP-led government favourably.
“Instead of taking action against General Pervez Musharraf
and his other colleagues who are responsible for killing the
Baloch, they have given them the red carpet treatment,”
Sardar Akhtar Mengal said about the government in a recent interview.
He further added, “How can we hold talks with such rulers?”
According
to the militant organisations, the ceasefire was conditional
– if military operations or the exploitation of Baloch
resources continued, they would call it off. And the BRA was
the first to withdraw its announcement of the unilateral ceasefire,
followed by the BLA. Occurrences of bomb blasts and targeted
killings in different areas of Balochistan followed the withdrawal.
The
resurgence of the armed activities of these organisations is
seen by political observers as a reaction to Talal Bugti’s
efforts in making the Gwadar Port operational, which is considered
a breach of the understanding that Balochistan’s natural
resources will not be exploited. His interactions with the government
were also considered a factor in the resurgence of armed revolt.
Another
view among the observers is that hawkish elements, belonging
to the previous government, wanted to eliminate the influence
of the families of Akbar Bugti and Nawab Khair Bakhsh Marri
from Dera Bugti and Kohlu. Opponents of Akbar Bugti and Nawab
Khair Bakhsh Marri then enjoyed the full support of the government.
“A so-called jirga of Bugti elders was held under the
supervision of the government, just a few days before the assassination
of Nawab Bugti. The jirga then announced that they would no
longer accept the supremacy of Nawab Bugti and his family,”
said Kachkol Ali Advocate, former opposition leader of the Balochistan
Assembly.
“Efforts
to eliminate the influence of both families did not bear fruit.
However, these elements still persisted,” says a source
from the Balochistan government, who views the current rift
between Baloch nationalists and Talal Bugti as a conspiracy
by such elements to install a moderate successor to Akbar Bugti.
While,
on the one hand, Talal Bugti’s reputation is going downhill,
his nephew Brahamdagh Bugti, president of the Baloch Republican
Party (BRP), has gained immense popularity, particularly among
the Baloch youth. Brahamdagh is not only supporting the armed
resistance, but, according to some political observers in Balochistan,
also has the BRA working under his command.
Nawab Khair Bakhsh Marri and Brahamdagh Bugti, both supporters
of the armed resistance, have clearly rejected any negotiations
with the government. Yet other nationalist forces, who believe
in a political struggle, too, have not expressed readiness for
any talks with the government.
Political observers are of the view that until the government
does not approach the real political circles of Balochistan
for a peaceful resolution of outstanding issues, the unrest
in the province would continue.
Some
nationalist forces want control over the coast and resources
of the province. Keeping in view their demands, the coalition
partners in Balochistan are preparing proposals for more powers
for the locals, which will be presented to the federal government
for making amendments to the constitution.
Sources
reveal that Chief Minister of Balochistan, Nawab Muhammad Aslam
Khan Raisani, is willing to meet Nawabzada Brahamdagh Bugti
and other nationalist leaders, who hold the reins of command
in Balochistan. But Raisani first wants the federal government
to specify what powers it is willing to give to Balochistan.
“I would be in a better position to talk to them once
the federal government says it is ready to negotiate and begin
talks,” said Raisani at a press conference.
And
while the present government has made claims that the problems
of Balochistan will be solved politically, not much has been
done other than withdrawing the many cases registered against
Baloch nationalist leaders.
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