Will General
Pervez Musharraf’s peace yatra to India help Pakistan inch
closer to a resolution of the Kashmir and other disputes,
and usher in an era of peace and prosperity in the subcontinent
and South Asia?
That
is the question uppermost in people’s minds as Musharraf embarks on his India
trip.
A
tall order that, given Siachen and Kargil and Kashmir and cross-border
terrorism. India and Pakistan have only
traded insults and accusations ever since the Kargil episode nearly two years
ago.
Common
sense then demands that one keep one’s expectations on a reasonable plane and
not get carried away by the euphoria of the moment. There are many bridges to cross, obstacles to overcome, lobbies
to circumvent and hawks to appease. The
mutual mistrust and hostility of 54 years cannot be wished away in three
days. And yet the masses on both sides
of the divide wait with bated breath.
Their lives have been scarred by the battle for the bullet and the bomb
between two long-time adversaries.
Defence expenditure has taken priority over all else – healthcare,
education, food, water, electricity, roads, development. And now the people want out of this
permanent state of no war, no peace.
The tension is killing.
There
is a section of society that believes it can happen – that if any one can
broker a lasting settlement, it is a military government on this side of the
divide and a fundamentalist government on the other. Interestingly, General Musharraf has even decided to don a
civilian cap, ostensibly to meet the Indian Prime Minister on an even keel,
ruffling many feathers locally and abroad in the process. But Vajpayee and the Indian establishment
are not unduly concerned. Reportedly
the general’s ancestral home in Delhi is being given a facelift and a trip to
the legendary Taj Mahal forms part of Musharraf’s planned itinerary. There is bonhomie in the air. But will it translate into camaraderie on
the negotiating table?
For
that, it is imperative that the two leaders show restraint, flexibility and a
certain willingness to step back from their oft-stated positions if need be, in
the tradition of true statesmen. This
historic opportunity should not be frittered away in jingoistic exercises or
mere rhetoric.
The
eyes of the world will be on these two newly nuclear states as Vajpayee and
Musharraf sit across the table to thrash out the most contentious issues that
have kept the two countries in a near state of war for more than half a century
and set alarm bells ringing in the rest of the world, and more specifically
South Asia.
For both men, the summit is a gamble, given the stakes. But both know the bottom line: peace is an imperative, for the alternative
is too alarming even to consider.