Why
is there so much hoopla about the fact that General
Musharraf was invited to Camp David, heaped with praise
by Bush and promised 3 billion US dollars in aid.
By at least one account - that of Musharraf's predecessor,
Zia - it would amount to "peanuts," given
the General's unstinted support to the US in its war
against terrorism, that involved targeting yesteryears
heroes and friends - the Al-Qaeda and the Taliban.
But all the General's men are ecstatic at the brownie
points Mush has managed to score with Bush and Blair
and Schroeder and Chirac.
Meanwhile, back home, there is trouble brewing. The opposition
is still gunning for the Legal Framework Order, and
his army uniform. And the most vitriolic are the MMA,
the army's erstwhile handmaidens, who are heading
towards a final showdown with the General. Fearful
of being relegated to the sidelines by their partners-in-jihad
as the General seeks new foreign policy initiatives
in Afghanistan, India and the Middle East, the MMA
are accusing the General of a volte face and of selling
out to the Americans.
On the face of it, the religious parties' honeymoon
with the army seems to be over. At least, for now.
But in the long run, is the General prepared to go
the extra mile. Is he willing to rock the mullahs'
boat? Not everyone is willing to hedge their bets
on that. People are still wary of the unholy mullah-military
nexus that goes back a long way - and is a self-serving
relationship.
For the moment, General Musharraf is more inclined
towards appeasing the Americans and strengthening
his power base - no matter what it takes. The mullahs
are feeling betrayed, bereft and threatened, as they
see their power base being eroded. They are not willing
to give in, or give up. And especially not now when
they've tasted power up close. They control two of
four provinces in the country. And are well on their
way to Talibanising the country, without facing any
resistance from the centre. Yet.
Incidentally, they have Musharraf and his men (besides
the US) to thank for their present showing in the
assemblies. Firstly, by splitting and sidelining the
two mainstream parties, and secondly, by making sure
that sanad-waving mullahs made it to the assemblies,
despite the graduation clause. It is a known fact
that the University Grants Commission was asked to
recognise the sanads from madrassas as being equivalent
to graduate degrees.
Now suddenly, the establishment seems to have woken
up to the worth of those sanads. The recent judgement
of the election tribunal of the Peshawar High Court,
disqualifying an MNA from Kohat on the grounds that
his sanad from a madrassa was not equivalent to a
graduate degree, would've been commendable, had it
not reeked of political motivation. Under this judgement,
around 160 legislators from the Senate and the assemblies,
mostly members of the MMA, would stand disqualified
if the Supreme Court were to give its assent to the
ruling. The MMA is understandably livid and threatens
to carry its anti-Musharraf campaign to the streets.
Does Musharraf's camp have any back-up plan to rid
themselves of their meddlesome priests? Given Musharraf's
recent anti-mullah tough talk, the MMA's first brush
with governance may well be short-lived, with the
Frontier government being the first casualty.
Meanwhile, according to the buzz in Islamabad, there
is yet another plan afoot - one that dispenses with
the most harmless of the motley crowd in Islamabad,
Jamali. Reason: he lacks leadership skills. But wasn't
he handpicked because he was a pushover.
Where does that leave General Musharraf's 'democratic'
dispensation? Or has the General finally given up
his search for "true" democracy since the
"champions of democracy" sitting on Capitol
Hill have conveniently stopped asking questions about
democracy in Pakistan.