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A
tangible new lead on Osama bin Laden's presence in an area along
the Pakistan-Afghanistan border has led to a renewed and more rigorous
manhunt for him.
It
was the second week of February when George Tenet, the Director-General
CIA, made an unpublicised visit to Islamabad to discuss with Pakistani
leaders a new strategy to trap the elusive Al-Qaeda leader.
The new plan involved a two-pronged " hammer and anvil"
operation, with the launching of simultaneous offensives by the
US forces in Afghanistan and Pakistani forces on the other side
of the border. The approach is aimed at driving the militants towards
each other and destroying them. A special US task force of covert
commando teams and CIA officials who had been involved in the arrest
of Saddam Hussein in Iraq was also shifted to Afghanistan to bolster
the campaign.
President
Musharraf appeared more willing to help the United States track
down bin Laden after he narrowly escaped two assassination attempts
involving Al-Qaeda and its allies among Pakistani Islamic militants.
Most analysts agree that the capture of bin Laden and his deputy,
Aiman al Zawahiri, has become a life-and-death issue for the military
leader. The two had repeatedly called for Musharraf's head, declaring
him a lackey of America and an enemy of Islam. He became the main
Al-Qaeda target after he handed over hundreds of militants to America.
What is more worrisome for Musharraf is the suspicion that
Islamic militants have penetrated the military and intelligence
agencies and might have been involved in the assassination plot.
Alongside, he has to assure the Bush administration of his total
cooperation, as Pakistan becomes the focal point of the nuclear
proliferation scandal. The general is under pressure to deliver
on bin Laden after pardoning Abdul Qadeer Khan for illegally selling
nuclear technology to Iran, Libya and North Korea. His decision
not to put the father of Pakistan's nuclear bomb on trial has largely
been dictated by domestic political compulsions, but it has not
gone down well with the international community.
The major focus of both the US and Pakistani forces is now
on dismantling bin Laden's support network. This approach centres
on greater reliance on human intelligence and a quick response on
tip-offs. Pakistani military officials maintain that their forces
are now better equipped to carry out the task. A large number of
CIA operatives and some US military personnel are assisting in the
campaign, but President Musharraf is not prepared to allow the US
military into the highly sensitive tribal region. Pakistani officials
contend that the presence of foreign troops could further fuel an
already explosive situation in the area.
It has taken Pakistan more than two years to build the capacity
to launch a swift operation in the treacherous terrain which became
a sanctuary for bin Laden and Al-Qaeda fighters. It was the first
time that Pakistani forces entered a fiercely autonomous tribal
region and set up monitoring posts along the mountainous routes.
"No country can create that capacity overnight in such an inhospitable
area," contends a senior Pakistani official.
Faced with tough resistance from pro-Taliban Pasthun tribesmen,
it was not easy for the military to seal off the 1500-mile-long
porous border and comb a largely inaccessible terrain. For more
than two decades, since the resistance against the former Soviet
occupation forces in Afghanistan in the 1980s, the tribal area in
the NWFP has been used by bin Laden and other Arab militants as
a base.
The routing of the Taliban regime in Afghanistan by the US-led
coalition forces in December forced hundreds of Al-Qaeda men to
take sanctuary among the sympathetic tribesmen. Many others escaped
to Iran and other Middle Eastern countries. But bin Laden and Mullah
Omar, the former Taliban supreme commander, remained elusive.
Currently, Pakistan has deployed more than 70,000 forces
to monitor its 1500-mile-long border. The troops set up more than
1000 check posts - a post after every 1.5 miles. The step helped
check the cross-border movement of the militants.
Pakistan and the US have poured millions of pounds into development
work in the area in an attempt to win the hearts and minds of the
tribesmen. For the first time, roads, hospitals and schools have
been built in remote areas where the writ of the Pakistani government
was limited.
The opening up of the tribal region and its gradual integration
with other parts of the country has helped the Pakistan army create
a human intelligence network that has proved invaluable in gathering
crucial information about the terrorist hideouts and their movements
along the border. During the past two years, bin Laden and his close
associates escaped capture many times as Pakistani forces did not
have the capacity to act swiftly. "The war on terrorism is
an intelligence war and not a military one," says a senior
Pakistani military officer.
During this period,
Pakistan, with the help of the United States, raised a commando-based
Special Operations Task Force( SOTF) for swift action on intelligence
information gathered both through human as well as electronic intelligence.
Pakistani authorities attribute two successful operations in Waziristan
since October 2003, in which several Al-Qaeda fugitives were killed
or captured, to this special force. "We now have all the ingredients
in place for more effective operations in the days to come,"
says a senior Pakistani official.
There has also been a marked improvement in the information-gathering
by coalition forces on the Afghan side of the border. Electronic
and air surveillance has restricted Al-Qaeda's options. The Pakistan
military has adopted a carrot-and-stick policy in an effort in an
effort to destroy Al-Qaeda's support network . In the latest operation
in Waziristan, Pakistani security forces arrested several women
married to the foreign fighters in the hope that they would provide
leads to the possible whereabouts of bin Laden. In addition, they
destroyed the houses of those tribesmen suspected of sheltering
Al-Qaeda fugitives. Pakistani officials said the move has worked
well towards providing some valuable information that could help
them close in on one of the world's most wanted men. 
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