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When
Mian Muhammad Nawaz Sharif landed in Dubai last month to breathe
life into his party's motionless dialogue with the PPP leadership,
he had a single concern on his mind: to protect and stabilise the
nascent PML-N government in the Punjab. If the dialogue about the
fate of the deposed judges had broken down, said one of Mr Sharif's
close confidants and a member of his negotiating team, it would
have rocked our national alliance and "disturbed the Dost Muhammad
Khosa government."
The
dialogue did make headway, and fortunately for the alliance, a compromise
solution of sorts was agreed upon: all the deposed judges, including
Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, would be restored on May 12 without,
of course, dislodging those pliant justices whom General Pervez
Musharraf had installed to get legal protection for his second martial
law on November 3, 2007.
This
seemingly happy ending of a nasty phase in the coalition government's
short life was never carved in the stone of principles, but as long
as it warded off an imminent threat to the ruling alliance, it was
kosher for both the PPP and the PML-N.
However,
like all halfway house deals brokered by expedient politics, this
one too had a price. Since the Dubai deal, the PPP has been on the
receiving end of crippling criticism. It is now an established fact
that the party's present managers do not want to move a single judge
from the Supreme Court bench and, to them, the restoration of the
deposed judges is only possible if the restored justices "live
with" their pro-Musharraf counterparts.
PPP's
official justification of this stance is that it is a legal matter:
Law Minister Farooq H. Naek has argued on numerous occasions that
while on November 2 the judges were dislodged unconstitutionally,
the constitution has now been revived, and no judge, even the ones
inducted by Musharraf, can be screened out through a politically-motivated
process.
The
reality is different. The PPP wants to tie down Iftikhar Muhammad
Chaudhry to ensure that he is "completely neutralised."
Some PPP insiders, disturbed by the consequences of their leadership's
dalliance with the establishment, have admitted that their party
leadership has told Musharraf that a revived Iftikhar Chaudhry would
not be allowed to "pose any threat to his presidency."
They also say that the "revival plan would be designed such
that the restored judges would always be outnumbered and outmanoeuvred
by their other brother judges, led by Justice Abdul Hameed Dogar."
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"Contrary
to the public perception that the PPP's fears centre on the issue
of the National Reconciliation Ordinance (NRO), it is actually our
top leaders' understanding with the president that has led them
to take this stand," said a senior PPP leader, who requested
not to be named because of the party's new policy of designating
specific individuals to talk to the media on this topic.
When
asked why the PPP should be sticking its long neck out for Musharraf
when they can polish their image by dumping him and championing
the popular cause of the judges' restoration, he said: "Musharraf
in the saddle is a primary check on Mr Sharif's political ambitions.
Also, Mr Asif Ali Zardari's advisors have convinced him that a restored
Chief Justice Iftikhar Chaudhry will be inclined towards Mr Sharif
and he [Mr Zardari] would have no friends in the judiciary."
This
is familiar stuff. This is precisely how General Musharraf and his
political allies, the PML-Q, tried to hold on to power but ended
up hastening their defeat in the February elections. Clearly, Islamabad's
Byzantine palaces have not changed much since the February elections.
Even now, vendors of wisdom and honour rarely enter through the
main gates, and upon arrival do nothing except plan to leave - generally
in disgust.
So when Fakhruddin G. Ebrahim, that small-framed giant of a lawyer,
quit the five-member committee, ostensibly formed to finalise the
script of the resolution to restore the judges on May 12, he was
only pointing to the amazing doublespeak of the ruling alliance
on the restoration issue. His letter, addressed to the law minister,
Farooq H. Naek, made a succinct case for the restoration of the
deposed judges without much fuss but ended on a note of heartbreaking
disappointment.
"Intentions are not honest and I cannot be party to a process
whose purpose is to justify something that is as patently unconstitutional
as to pack the Supreme Court with judges whose appointments are
illegal and who took oath under the PCO after the November 3 martial
law," said Mr Ebrahim to Khawaja Asif, minister of petroleum,
and a key figure in the dialogue with the PPP over the issue. Hours
of persuasion did not convince Mr Ebrahim to change his stance.
His most decisive statement of disenchantment was made to the minister
in the following words: "I might have made many mistakes, but
there's one thing I have never done - I have never committed a wrong
knowingly. Staying on the committee and agreeing with its actual
agenda is wrong and I know it." So does everyone in the alliance.
But power has its own priorities and common sense is usually at
the end of the list.
Important
foreign forces are also peddling tremendous influence to keep things
the way they are at the moment. The US embassy has become a veritable
extension of General Musharraf's Camp Office. In the past one month,
embassy officials, ostensibly carrying Washington's brief on counter-terrorism
as their talking points, have aggressively lobbied for a consensus
between the PPP and the PML-N that helps Musharraf stay in power.
Diplomatic
sources in Islamabad say that Washington wants Musharraf to stick
around as a fallback option in case the coalition government falters
and fails under the weight of its own follies. "The US has
some clout with the PPP because it brokered peace between them and
the general. At that time, the three agreed that the general would
usher in a coalition of moderate forces, and having seen it through,
would wind up his work and leave the stage in 2010. That is what
is being done with a slightly different equation involving the Nawaz-League
as well," says a well-informed western diplomat, whose main
task is to closely monitor the country's political scene.
This
understanding seems to be working: PML-N has lowered its sights
and is now willing to digest a Supreme Court packed with 27 judges,
headed by Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry whose tenure
and suo moto powers will be pared down to politically acceptable
levels.
In a press conference
in Lahore, where he announced the date of the restoration of judges,
Sharif was most apologetic in tone when he described this climb
down as part of the flexibility needed for the "superior goal
of saving the coalition and a sovereign parliament."
PML-N
sources also report a certain fatigue with the restoration issue,
complaining that this has sapped "vital energies of the coalition"
at a time when the country is up trouble creek. While all the PML-N
leaders have kept their rhetoric on the restoration issue a few
decibels higher than the PPP, they also want to "get on with
governance." But the truth is that political and not judicial
matters are blocking the path of governance. The two parties have
come to power after a very long time, and they want to sink their
claws deeper: the PPP at the centre and in Sindh and the PML-N in
the Punjab. For them, all compromises are possible towards this
end. The problem is that each compromise brings them closer to a
presidency that is hugely unpopular, and away from the attractive
causes they championed from the wilderness of the opposition. Of
these goals, ensuring the rule of law and supremacy of the constitution
was the main one, but it is not exactly in the top slot these days.
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