For Pakistan's
newest Prime Minister, winning the by-elections in Tharparkar
and Attock - with the entire administrative machinery
at his disposal - was a cakewalk. Winning the hearts
and minds of Pakistan's 150 million citizens promises
to be a different ballgame altogether.
From
now on, Shaukat Aziz is on his own - in a manner of
speaking. His two mentors, President Musharraf and PML(Q)
chief, Chaudhary Shujaat Hussain, each have their own
power base. Aziz has none, which means he will have
to rely on one or the other for his political survival.
Not a very endearing prospect for a man just starting
out in Pakistan's murky, shark-infested political waters.
Certain
circles swear by the man's brilliant, incisive mind,
his excellent contacts, and his decision-making skills,
all of which proved to be assets in his earlier stint
as finance minister. But running a tight economic ship
is one thing and running a complex country like Pakistan,
with its multifarious problems, quite another.The attempt
on his life at an election meeting in Attock probably
gave Aziz a taste of what lies in store.
Law
and order pose the biggest challenge to his government.
Sectarian killings, bomb blasts and high profile assassination
attempts are the order of the day. While Pakistan's
macro-economic indicators may be right, unless the violence
stops, the much needed foreign investment to set the
wheels of industry in motion will not materialise. If
Shaukat Aziz wants to ensure that the effects of a stable
economy filter down to Pakistan's 150 million people,
50 million of whom still live below the poverty line,
this issue will have to be addressed on a priority basis.
As will the volatile situation in Wana and Balochistan.
Shaukat
Aziz faces the daunting task of defusing tensions and
thrashing out a political solution to a political problem.
Branding Baloch nationalist leaders traitors or terrorists
will only create more resentment against Musharraf's
army and queer the pitch further for a prime minister
who has no public persona and no political constituency.
As it is, Aziz's position is precarious: he heads a
divergent coalition that will demand its pound of flesh
for any favours rendered. One is a witness to the manner
in which every coalition partner was clamouring for
the maximum number of ministries in the cabinet. And
by all accounts, political expediency rather than merit
won the day. However, now that Shaukat is in the saddle,
he is stuck with this motley crew, for better or worse.
Will Shaukat Aziz settle for the parameters
laid down for him by his military patrons or will he
assert himself and create a space of his own to mould
the country's destiny in his own vision? After all,
the savvy world-renowned banker has been exposed to
the biggest democracies in the world and is familiar
with the concepts of civil liberties, human rights and
good governance.
Will the
corporate mind of Pakistan's 23rd prime minister prove
equal to the challenge of governing what is often described
as "the ungovernable," or will he fade into
oblivion like many before him?
The stage
is set, the audience awaits. Let the show begin
