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As
the Kashmir Valley shivered under heavy snowfall in the third week
of January, political antagonists in New Delhi were busy warming
up over cups of tea and photo sessions. The All Parties Hurriyet
(Ansari faction) Conference delegation met the deputy prime minister
Lal Kishen Advani and later Prime Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee.
Advani's invitation to Hurriyet earlier this month, following the
SAARC summit and the resumption of air, road and rail links between
India and Pakistan, initially came like a cleansing fresh breeze.
When asked by the media a few days before the much hyped talks on
January 22, Advani had inferred that he expected the talks would
be low on hype and high on substance. What emerged after the hype
had settled was exactly the opposite.
There is no doubt, however, that the mega-event was a step
ahead of the KC Pant, Ram Jethmalani and NN Vohra missions. Firstly,
it was an invitation straight from the deputy prime minister, who
also holds the Home portfolio, and obviously stands on a higher
pedestal than the other interlocutors who were generally viewed
as unauthorised to initiate a dialogue. Secondly, it was a direct
invitation, unlike previous cases where no formal invitations were
ever extended to "separatists." Thirdly, the talks on
January 22 also paved the way for a meeting with none other than
the Prime Minister himself.
However,
there is much more to the meeting than meets the eye. The bonhomie
on January 22 between Advani and the five-member delegation of the
Ansari faction christened by the media as the "moderate Hurriyet,"
was too smooth and cordial to be real. The manner in which a statement
was prepared and readily agreed upon within no time at all, aroused
suspicions about whether the entire event was stage-managed and
pre-meditated. When the issue of the release of political prisoners
was projected as a serene picture of cordiality between the two
sides and was sold as a major breakthrough, there was much scepticism
in Jammu and Kashmir, specially in the Valley, about the underlying
purpose behind the show-piece meeting.
The unusual smoothness of the affair was not the only reason
for scepticism. There was no invitation to the Geelani Hurriyet
faction or to any other separatist individual or organisation. Interestingly,
ever since the Hurriyet split some months back, the two factions
are seen as moderate and extremist by the media, and pro-India and
pro-Pakistan by the people. There was a general perception that
agencies on both sides had a role to play in splitting the 22-party
conglomerate of separatist leaders which at one time was a force
to reckon with in the Valley, as well as Indian-controlled Jammu
and Kashmir. Surprisingly, neither the JKLF which has maintained
a distance from both Hurriyet factions, nor Shabbir Shah, who at
one time was on the right side of New Delhi, received an invitation.
Only the Ansari Hurriyet was singled out. The fact that Hurriyet
was a dreaded word for New Delhi before the split lends credence
to the belief that New Delhi and Islamabad were burning the midnight
oil to create a rift among the separatists. That the Geelani-led
Hurriyet did not receive similar patronage from Pakistan, owing
to Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf's own domestic compulsions
of reining in fundamentalist organisations, is another story.
The
Hurriyet delegation included Fazal Haq Qureshi and Bilal Lone. The
Lone brothers have been discredited in the Valley not just for fielding
proxy candidates in the 2002 assembly elections, but also because
of much speculation over their joining mainstream politics.
However, more importantly, the meeting dealt with little
else other than the question of political prisoners and paving the
way for Hurriyet leaders to visit Pakistan. The event soon fizzled
into a damp squib with much ado about nothing. It was clearly a
diversionary tactic from the basic Hurriyet stand on the issue of
deciding the future of Kashmir. This figured nowhere in the joint
statement released by the Hurriyet leaders and Advani. The only
point the joint statement focussed on was conducive steps towards
a solution, which was then projected and offered on a silver platter
as the solution to the Kashmir dispute. Obviously, the main issue
had become a casualty of the much-publicised talks. Ironically,
the issue of the release of political prisoners was already something
that the state government had agreed on in principle, even though
its implementation left much to be desired.
There
is suspicion surrounding the basic purpose behind the sudden bid
for friendship not just between India and Pakistan, but also between
New Delhi and the Kashmiri separatists, who till six months ago
were being shunned as the 'untouchable terrorists.' There have been
indications that US pressure has been instrumental in setting the
tone of friendship in South Asia. As far as the ruling BJP is concerned,
it was probably trying to kill two birds with one stone. While US
pressure may have been one factor, another happens to be the forthcoming
Lok Sabha elections. The BJP is looking forward to reversing its
1999 election strategy of Pakistan-bashing in the wake of the Kargil
incident, to peace and dialogue in the current season of peace initiatives
and confidence-building measures. The question is how far will these
peace moves proceed if 'peace' itself is not the genuine motivation
and purpose?
The
common ground that hostile strangers - the BJP and the Hurriyet
- seemed to have found in New Delhi, may well go down in history
as an important event. However, though it may have broken the ice,
will the meeting melt the frozen turbulence of several decades?
Or was it all just a PR photo-opportunity?
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